Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Mark Staples
Issued by Mark Staples on
Monday morning, April 6, 2020
The main issue today will be soft slab avalanches of wind drifted snow at upper elevations. Strong south winds blew yesterday and are continuing today. For this reason, the avalanche danger at upper elevations is MODERATE.
The avalanche danger at mid and low elevations is LOW.
HEADS UP - The avalanche danger could rise if any significant amount of rain occurs. The snow is already damp. Rain would make it loose cohesion and cause loose wet avalanches to occur. These slides may not be large but would be a problem in confined terrain like gullies or creek bottoms.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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We are sad to share the news of two recent avalanche fatalities:
On Wednesday, Trace Carrillo died in an avalanche on Taylor Mountain near Teton Pass. Trace was formerly an intern with the UAC and more recently a wilderness ranger with the Forest Service. Article here. Preliminary report here. On Friday, Rob Kincaid died in an avalanche just north of Palisades Reservoir near the ID/WY stateline. Rob was well known by many snowmobilers as an athlete for Arctic Cat and veteran of many snowmobile competitions. Article here. Preliminary report here.
More details should be available soon about these tragic events but initial reports are that both men were wearing avalanche transceivers that were not turned on.

January 5, 2019 - Read this collection of 6 stories and a podcast about that day with a low avalanche danger, 8 skier-triggered avalanches, four catch and carries, a partial and critical burial, and a trip to the emergency room.
Weather and Snow
Yesterday only a trace of snow fell; however, strong south winds blew at upper elevations most of the day.
This morning temperatures are near freezing around 9000 feet. Ridgetop winds are blowing 20-40 mph from the south and gusting 50-60 mph. Even at lower elevations, winds are gusty.
Today an area of low pressure off the California coast will be sending moisture and winds from the southwest over Utah. This means strong south winds will continue with warm air temperatures reaching the mid to upper 40s F today. Mostly cloudy skies will bring a trace of snow above 8000 feet and a touch of rain below that elevation. ALSO, there could a thunderstorm or two.
Recent Avalanches
There have been no reported avalanches.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Although only a trace of snow fell yesterday, the strong south winds have likely found some snow to transport and form shallow slabs of wind drifted snow. These should be easy to identify visually. With strong winds expected to continue today, I expect some of these wind slabs could be triggered today.

CORNICES - Cornices in some places are massive. These monsters are unpredictable especially during warm weather when they start bending downhill. Avoid being under or near the tops of large cornices.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
With above freezing temperatures overnight, the snow at low and mid elevations should be wet this morning and remain wet today. Small shallow slides of loose wet snow could occur today mostly at elevations below 8500 feet.
HEADS UP - Watch out if any significant amount of rain falls today which could cause wet loose avalanches to occur.
Additional Information
Information on outdoor recreation - The State of Utah created this webpage with information about recreating on both state and federal public lands during the current health crisis.

Skiing and riding at closed ski resorts - Some resorts allow access now, and some do not. Please check HERE for the latest info on ski area access.

New to the backcountry (including riding at closed resorts) - Watch the award-winning, 15 minute Know Before You Go video, or take the 5-part, free online-learning series.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.