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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne on
Friday morning, February 28, 2020
The avalanche danger is LOW on all aspects and elevations and Normal Caution is advised. The primary avalanche hazard to watch for today is small, wet-loose activity on steep, sunny slopes.
Slide for life conditions exist in some of the alpine terrain across the range, and an ice axe, whippet, and (ski) crampons may be useful. Remember that risk is inherent in mountain travel and even a small avalanche in steep terrain can have significant consequences.
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Weather and Snow
Currently, skies are clear and temperatures range through the 20's F. in the Ogden mountains. Winds are out of the west/southwest and light, generally less than 10 mph, with gusts into the teens along upper elevation ridges.
For today, expect sunny and mild conditions. Temperatures will rise into the mid and upper 30's, and about freezing along upper elevation ridgetops. Winds will be westerly and light, gusting into the teens at the upper elevation ridges.
Looking ahead, skies will begin to cloud up this evening and winds will turn southwesterly on Saturday. A much-needed reset to winter with snowfall expected to begin later Saturday night and into Sunday. Current models are showing about 6-8" of snow by later Sunday evening.
Savvy Ogden backcountry riders are reporting finding soft, dry recrystallized snow on wind-sheltered northerly aspects and the onset of a corn cycle on south aspects.
Recent Avalanches
Minor, wet-loose activity on steep southerly aspects.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Currently, the avalanche danger is Low and avalanche conditions are generally safe. Avalanches are always possible, and the things to watch for today include (1) small loose wet avalanches on steep, sunny slopes and (2) very isolated pockets of recent wind slabs along upper elevation ridgelines. Slide-for-life conditions exist on steep aspects that have been scoured down to the Feb 7 crust.
Additional Information
With increasing winds and snow in the forecast, the avalanche danger will rise by Sunday morning. Pay attention to the current snow surface - look for weak, faceted (sugary) snow on shady aspects, especially where it is sitting on top of the Feb 7 crust. Any weaknesses at our current snow surface may provide weak layers once we put a load of new - or wind-loaded - snow on top.
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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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