Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Friday morning, December 27, 2019
A LOW DANGER exists in the Ogden area mountains. Remember that LOW does not mean NO danger. This should be your starting point this morning. If you see different conditions, adjust your travel choices accordingly. Isolated human triggered sluffs and pockety shallow storm snow avalanches remain possible in steep terrain today.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
New blog post-Landmines -
With permission, we am reprinting a recent piece of correspondence from an Army officer who is frequently deployed to the middle east. Drew spent time in the middle east as a naval intelligence officer in Desert Storm in the early 90s.

New podcast - Risk, Reward, and the Big Lie - A Conversation with Ski Guide Doug Workman

Jenna Malone's UAC Podcast - Betting Your Life - Why Forecasting is Poker and Not Chess - A Conversation with Jenna Malone - now has her video presentation from this fall's USAW.

Thanks to the generous support of our Utah ski resorts and Ski Utah, we have discount lift tickets available. All proceeds from these go towards paying for avalanche forecasting and education! Get your tickets here.
Weather and Snow
Skies are mostly cloudy with generally light southeast wind. Temperatures are in the upper teens to low 20s. The higher elevations (Mt Ogden and James Peak) have temps at 11F as of 6am. Skiing and riding conditions are excellent with 45" on the ground at the mid-elevations, from Snowbasin to the Cutler Ridge to Monte Cristo. Low elevations remain well filled in, with 30-35" at the trailheads.
Recent Avalanches
Ski area snow safety teams reported triggering shallow soft slabs and point release avalanches in the new snow yesterday. Explosive testing pulled out an old hard wind slab 2-3' deep and 75' wide but this was the exception to the rule.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
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Description
Normal, not Extra Caution, can be advised today. Sluffing and isolated pockets of shallow soft slabs remain possible in the upper elevations but these are predictable and manageable hazards. Your choice of terrain will accentuate the danger if moving through unforgiving no-fall zones. Continue to follow safe travel protocol: make a plan, cross terrain one-at-a-time, and get out of the way at the bottom. Carry and practice with your rescue gear.
The Fine Print: IF we see more wind and sun than expected, the danger will center around fresh wind drifts up high and increased sluffing in the new snow.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.